Ligao Foods (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.8
| 300973 Stock | 38.51 1.27 3.19% |
Ligao |
Ligao Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 39.8
The tendency of Ligao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 39.80 or more in 90 days |
| 38.51 | 90 days | 39.80 | about 11.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ligao Foods to move over 39.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.19 (This Ligao Foods CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Ligao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ligao Foods CoLtd price to stay between its current price of 38.51 and 39.80 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ligao Foods has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ligao Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ligao Foods CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ligao Foods CoLtd has an alpha of 0.8389, implying that it can generate a 0.84 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ligao Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ligao Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ligao Foods CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ligao Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ligao Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ligao Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ligao Foods CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ligao Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Ligao Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ligao Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ligao Foods CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ligao Foods CoLtd appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ligao Foods CoLtd is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Ligao Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ligao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ligao Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ligao Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 169.3 M |
Ligao Foods Technical Analysis
Ligao Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ligao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ligao Foods CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ligao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ligao Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Ligao Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ligao Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ligao Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ligao Foods CoLtd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ligao Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ligao Foods CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ligao Foods CoLtd appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ligao Foods CoLtd is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Ligao Stock
Ligao Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ligao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ligao with respect to the benefits of owning Ligao Foods security.