Anhui Shiny (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.32

300956 Stock   21.10  0.16  0.75%   
Anhui Shiny's future price is the expected price of Anhui Shiny instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anhui Shiny Electronic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anhui Shiny Backtesting, Anhui Shiny Valuation, Anhui Shiny Correlation, Anhui Shiny Hype Analysis, Anhui Shiny Volatility, Anhui Shiny History as well as Anhui Shiny Performance.
  
Please specify Anhui Shiny's target price for which you would like Anhui Shiny odds to be computed.

Anhui Shiny Target Price Odds to finish over 22.32

The tendency of Anhui Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  22.32  or more in 90 days
 21.10 90 days 22.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anhui Shiny to move over  22.32  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Anhui Shiny Electronic probability density function shows the probability of Anhui Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anhui Shiny Electronic price to stay between its current price of  21.10  and  22.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anhui Shiny has a beta of 0.93. This suggests Anhui Shiny Electronic market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Anhui Shiny is expected to follow. Additionally Anhui Shiny Electronic has an alpha of 0.3289, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Anhui Shiny Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anhui Shiny

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anhui Shiny Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.3221.1024.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.7220.5024.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0921.8725.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.2821.4422.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anhui Shiny. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anhui Shiny's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anhui Shiny's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anhui Shiny Electronic.

Anhui Shiny Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anhui Shiny is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anhui Shiny's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anhui Shiny Electronic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anhui Shiny within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Anhui Shiny Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anhui Shiny for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anhui Shiny Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anhui Shiny had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (35.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 96.92 M.
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Anhui Shiny Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anhui Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anhui Shiny's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anhui Shiny's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.4 M

Anhui Shiny Technical Analysis

Anhui Shiny's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anhui Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anhui Shiny Electronic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anhui Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anhui Shiny Predictive Forecast Models

Anhui Shiny's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anhui Shiny's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anhui Shiny's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anhui Shiny Electronic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anhui Shiny for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anhui Shiny Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anhui Shiny had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (35.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 96.92 M.
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Anhui Stock

Anhui Shiny financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anhui with respect to the benefits of owning Anhui Shiny security.