Loctek Ergonomic (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.78
| 300729 Stock | 15.63 0.21 1.33% |
Loctek |
Loctek Ergonomic Target Price Odds to finish below 13.78
The tendency of Loctek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.78 or more in 90 days |
| 15.63 | 90 days | 13.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loctek Ergonomic to drop to 13.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Loctek Ergonomic Technology probability density function shows the probability of Loctek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Loctek Ergonomic Tec price to stay between 13.78 and its current price of 15.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Loctek Ergonomic has a beta of 0.42. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Loctek Ergonomic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Loctek Ergonomic Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Loctek Ergonomic Technology has an alpha of 0.2121, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Loctek Ergonomic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Loctek Ergonomic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loctek Ergonomic Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Loctek Ergonomic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loctek Ergonomic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loctek Ergonomic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loctek Ergonomic Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loctek Ergonomic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Loctek Ergonomic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loctek Ergonomic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loctek Ergonomic Tec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Loctek Ergonomic Tec had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Has Heilongjiang Publishing Media Co., Ltd.s Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals - Simply Wall St |
Loctek Ergonomic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loctek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loctek Ergonomic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loctek Ergonomic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 312.5 M |
Loctek Ergonomic Technical Analysis
Loctek Ergonomic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loctek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loctek Ergonomic Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loctek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Loctek Ergonomic Predictive Forecast Models
Loctek Ergonomic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Loctek Ergonomic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Loctek Ergonomic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Loctek Ergonomic Tec
Checking the ongoing alerts about Loctek Ergonomic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loctek Ergonomic Tec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Loctek Ergonomic Tec had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Has Heilongjiang Publishing Media Co., Ltd.s Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Loctek Stock
Loctek Ergonomic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Loctek Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Loctek with respect to the benefits of owning Loctek Ergonomic security.