Nsfocus Information (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.44
| 300369 Stock | 6.45 0.01 0.16% |
Nsfocus |
Nsfocus Information Target Price Odds to finish over 10.44
The tendency of Nsfocus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.44 or more in 90 days |
| 6.45 | 90 days | 10.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nsfocus Information to move over 10.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nsfocus Information Technology probability density function shows the probability of Nsfocus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nsfocus Information price to stay between its current price of 6.45 and 10.44 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nsfocus Information has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Nsfocus Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nsfocus Information Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nsfocus Information Technology has an alpha of 0.1936, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nsfocus Information Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nsfocus Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nsfocus Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nsfocus Information Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nsfocus Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nsfocus Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nsfocus Information Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nsfocus Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Nsfocus Information Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nsfocus Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nsfocus Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nsfocus Information generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nsfocus Information has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (977.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 B. | |
| Nsfocus Information generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Growth Stocks With Insider Ownership And Up To 127 percent Earnings Growth - Simply Wall St |
Nsfocus Information Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nsfocus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nsfocus Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nsfocus Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 799.9 M |
Nsfocus Information Technical Analysis
Nsfocus Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nsfocus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nsfocus Information Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nsfocus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nsfocus Information Predictive Forecast Models
Nsfocus Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nsfocus Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nsfocus Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nsfocus Information
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nsfocus Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nsfocus Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nsfocus Information generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nsfocus Information has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (977.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 B. | |
| Nsfocus Information generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Growth Stocks With Insider Ownership And Up To 127 percent Earnings Growth - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Nsfocus Stock
Nsfocus Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nsfocus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nsfocus with respect to the benefits of owning Nsfocus Information security.