Aier Eye (China) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.25
| 300015 Stock | 12.49 0.23 1.81% |
Aier |
Aier Eye Target Price Odds to finish over 13.25
The tendency of Aier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 13.25 or more in 90 days |
| 12.49 | 90 days | 13.25 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aier Eye to move over 13.25 or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Aier Eye Hospital probability density function shows the probability of Aier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aier Eye Hospital price to stay between its current price of 12.49 and 13.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aier Eye Hospital has a beta of -0.61. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aier Eye are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aier Eye Hospital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aier Eye Hospital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aier Eye Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aier Eye
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aier Eye Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aier Eye Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aier Eye is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aier Eye's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aier Eye Hospital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aier Eye within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Aier Eye Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aier Eye for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aier Eye Hospital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aier Eye Hospital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aier Eye Hospital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Aier Eye Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aier Eye's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aier Eye's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 B |
Aier Eye Technical Analysis
Aier Eye's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aier Eye Hospital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aier Eye Predictive Forecast Models
Aier Eye's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aier Eye's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aier Eye's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aier Eye Hospital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aier Eye for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aier Eye Hospital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aier Eye Hospital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aier Eye Hospital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Aier Stock
Aier Eye financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aier with respect to the benefits of owning Aier Eye security.