SOGECLAIR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.6
| 2U0 Stock | 18.25 0.45 2.41% |
SOGECLAIR |
SOGECLAIR Target Price Odds to finish below 17.6
The tendency of SOGECLAIR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.60 or more in 90 days |
| 18.25 | 90 days | 17.60 | about 48.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SOGECLAIR to drop to 17.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.72 (This SOGECLAIR SA INH probability density function shows the probability of SOGECLAIR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SOGECLAIR SA INH price to stay between 17.60 and its current price of 18.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SOGECLAIR has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SOGECLAIR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SOGECLAIR SA INH will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SOGECLAIR SA INH has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SOGECLAIR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SOGECLAIR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOGECLAIR SA INH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SOGECLAIR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SOGECLAIR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SOGECLAIR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SOGECLAIR SA INH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SOGECLAIR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
SOGECLAIR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SOGECLAIR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SOGECLAIR SA INH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SOGECLAIR SA INH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
SOGECLAIR Technical Analysis
SOGECLAIR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SOGECLAIR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SOGECLAIR SA INH. In general, you should focus on analyzing SOGECLAIR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SOGECLAIR Predictive Forecast Models
SOGECLAIR's time-series forecasting models is one of many SOGECLAIR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SOGECLAIR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SOGECLAIR SA INH
Checking the ongoing alerts about SOGECLAIR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SOGECLAIR SA INH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SOGECLAIR SA INH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in SOGECLAIR Stock
SOGECLAIR financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOGECLAIR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOGECLAIR with respect to the benefits of owning SOGECLAIR security.