Tile Shop (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.15

2TS Stock  EUR 6.10  0.05  0.83%   
Tile Shop's future price is the expected price of Tile Shop instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tile Shop Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tile Shop Backtesting, Tile Shop Valuation, Tile Shop Correlation, Tile Shop Hype Analysis, Tile Shop Volatility, Tile Shop History as well as Tile Shop Performance.
  
Please specify Tile Shop's target price for which you would like Tile Shop odds to be computed.

Tile Shop Target Price Odds to finish below 5.15

The tendency of Tile Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 5.15  or more in 90 days
 6.10 90 days 5.15 
roughly 2.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tile Shop to drop to € 5.15  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.25 (This Tile Shop Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tile Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tile Shop Holdings price to stay between € 5.15  and its current price of €6.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This suggests Tile Shop Holdings market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tile Shop is expected to follow. Additionally Tile Shop Holdings has an alpha of 0.1005, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tile Shop Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tile Shop

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tile Shop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.926.108.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.804.987.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.056.228.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.666.086.49
Details

Tile Shop Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tile Shop is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tile Shop's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tile Shop Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tile Shop within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Tile Shop Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tile Shop for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tile Shop Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tile Shop Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tile Shop Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tile Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tile Shop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tile Shop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.20
Float Shares36.06M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield8.53%

Tile Shop Technical Analysis

Tile Shop's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tile Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tile Shop Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tile Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tile Shop Predictive Forecast Models

Tile Shop's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tile Shop's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tile Shop's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tile Shop Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tile Shop for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tile Shop Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tile Shop Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Tile Stock

When determining whether Tile Shop Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tile Shop's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tile Shop Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tile Shop Holdings Stock:
Check out Tile Shop Backtesting, Tile Shop Valuation, Tile Shop Correlation, Tile Shop Hype Analysis, Tile Shop Volatility, Tile Shop History as well as Tile Shop Performance.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tile Shop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tile Shop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tile Shop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.