Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.40

2445 Stock   20.86  0.14  0.67%   
Kuala Lumpur's future price is the expected price of Kuala Lumpur instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kuala Lumpur Kepong performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kuala Lumpur Backtesting, Kuala Lumpur Valuation, Kuala Lumpur Correlation, Kuala Lumpur Hype Analysis, Kuala Lumpur Volatility, Kuala Lumpur History as well as Kuala Lumpur Performance.
  
Please specify Kuala Lumpur's target price for which you would like Kuala Lumpur odds to be computed.

Kuala Lumpur Target Price Odds to finish below 19.40

The tendency of Kuala Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  19.40  or more in 90 days
 20.86 90 days 19.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kuala Lumpur to drop to  19.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kuala Lumpur Kepong probability density function shows the probability of Kuala Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kuala Lumpur Kepong price to stay between  19.40  and its current price of 20.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kuala Lumpur Kepong has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kuala Lumpur are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kuala Lumpur Kepong is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kuala Lumpur Kepong has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kuala Lumpur Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kuala Lumpur

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuala Lumpur Kepong. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6020.8622.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5517.8122.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8120.0721.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6921.7822.86
Details

Kuala Lumpur Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kuala Lumpur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kuala Lumpur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kuala Lumpur Kepong, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kuala Lumpur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Kuala Lumpur Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kuala Lumpur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kuala Lumpur Kepong can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kuala Lumpur Kepong generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Kuala Lumpur Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kuala Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kuala Lumpur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kuala Lumpur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.7 B

Kuala Lumpur Technical Analysis

Kuala Lumpur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kuala Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kuala Lumpur Kepong. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kuala Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kuala Lumpur Predictive Forecast Models

Kuala Lumpur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kuala Lumpur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kuala Lumpur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kuala Lumpur Kepong

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kuala Lumpur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kuala Lumpur Kepong help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kuala Lumpur Kepong generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Kuala Stock

Kuala Lumpur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kuala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kuala with respect to the benefits of owning Kuala Lumpur security.