Chung Hung (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.85
| 2014 Stock | TWD 19.35 0.50 2.52% |
Chung |
Chung Hung Target Price Odds to finish over 19.85
The tendency of Chung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over NT$ 19.85 or more in 90 days |
| 19.35 | 90 days | 19.85 | about 61.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chung Hung to move over NT$ 19.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.73 (This Chung Hung Steel probability density function shows the probability of Chung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chung Hung Steel price to stay between its current price of NT$ 19.35 and NT$ 19.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chung Hung Steel has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chung Hung are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chung Hung Steel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chung Hung Steel has an alpha of 0.2018, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chung Hung Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chung Hung
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chung Hung Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chung Hung Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chung Hung is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chung Hung's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chung Hung Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chung Hung within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Chung Hung Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chung Hung for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chung Hung Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chung Hung Steel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chung Hung Steel has accumulated 4.44 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 99.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chung Hung Steel has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chung Hung until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chung Hung's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chung Hung Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chung to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chung Hung's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 44.0% of Chung Hung shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chung Hung Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chung Hung's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chung Hung's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Chung Hung Technical Analysis
Chung Hung's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chung Hung Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chung Hung Predictive Forecast Models
Chung Hung's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chung Hung's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chung Hung's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chung Hung Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chung Hung for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chung Hung Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chung Hung Steel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Chung Hung Steel has accumulated 4.44 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 99.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Chung Hung Steel has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Chung Hung until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Chung Hung's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Chung Hung Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Chung to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Chung Hung's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 44.0% of Chung Hung shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Chung Stock Analysis
When running Chung Hung's price analysis, check to measure Chung Hung's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chung Hung is operating at the current time. Most of Chung Hung's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chung Hung's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chung Hung's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chung Hung to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.