Sabre Insurance (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.58
| 18M Stock | EUR 1.65 0.05 2.94% |
Sabre |
Sabre Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 1.58
The tendency of Sabre Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.58 or more in 90 days |
| 1.65 | 90 days | 1.58 | about 22.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sabre Insurance to drop to € 1.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.6 (This Sabre Insurance Group probability density function shows the probability of Sabre Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sabre Insurance Group price to stay between € 1.58 and its current price of €1.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sabre Insurance has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sabre Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sabre Insurance Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sabre Insurance Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sabre Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sabre Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sabre Insurance Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sabre Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sabre Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sabre Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sabre Insurance Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sabre Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Sabre Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sabre Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sabre Insurance Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sabre Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sabre Insurance may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Sabre Insurance Group has accumulated 317 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Sabre Insurance Group has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sabre Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sabre Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sabre Insurance Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sabre to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sabre Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 85.0% of Sabre Insurance shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Sabre Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sabre Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sabre Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sabre Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 250 M |
Sabre Insurance Technical Analysis
Sabre Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sabre Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sabre Insurance Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sabre Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sabre Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Sabre Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sabre Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sabre Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sabre Insurance Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sabre Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sabre Insurance Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sabre Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sabre Insurance may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Sabre Insurance Group has accumulated 317 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Sabre Insurance Group has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sabre Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sabre Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sabre Insurance Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sabre to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sabre Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 85.0% of Sabre Insurance shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in Sabre Stock
Sabre Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sabre Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sabre with respect to the benefits of owning Sabre Insurance security.