SGA Solutions (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 473.29

184230 Stock  KRW 454.00  3.52  0.78%   
SGA Solutions' future price is the expected price of SGA Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SGA Solutions CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SGA Solutions Backtesting, SGA Solutions Valuation, SGA Solutions Correlation, SGA Solutions Hype Analysis, SGA Solutions Volatility, SGA Solutions History as well as SGA Solutions Performance.
  
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SGA Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 473.29

The tendency of SGA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 473.29  after 90 days
 454.00 90 days 473.29 
about 50.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SGA Solutions to stay under W 473.29  after 90 days from now is about 50.18 (This SGA Solutions CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of SGA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SGA Solutions CoLtd price to stay between its current price of W 454.00  and W 473.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SGA Solutions has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SGA Solutions average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SGA Solutions CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SGA Solutions CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SGA Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SGA Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SGA Solutions CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
451.80454.00456.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
448.37450.57499.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SGA Solutions. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SGA Solutions' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SGA Solutions' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SGA Solutions CoLtd.

SGA Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SGA Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SGA Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SGA Solutions CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SGA Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
23.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

SGA Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SGA Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SGA Solutions CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SGA Solutions CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SGA Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SGA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SGA Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SGA Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.8 B

SGA Solutions Technical Analysis

SGA Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SGA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SGA Solutions CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing SGA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SGA Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

SGA Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many SGA Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SGA Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SGA Solutions CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about SGA Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SGA Solutions CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SGA Solutions CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SGA Stock

SGA Solutions financial ratios help investors to determine whether SGA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SGA with respect to the benefits of owning SGA Solutions security.