Yuan Jen (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.90

1725 Stock  TWD 38.90  0.80  2.02%   
Yuan Jen's future price is the expected price of Yuan Jen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yuan Jen Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yuan Jen Backtesting, Yuan Jen Valuation, Yuan Jen Correlation, Yuan Jen Hype Analysis, Yuan Jen Volatility, Yuan Jen History as well as Yuan Jen Performance.
  
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Yuan Jen Target Price Odds to finish over 38.90

The tendency of Yuan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.90 90 days 38.90 
about 89.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yuan Jen to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.65 (This Yuan Jen Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Yuan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yuan Jen Enterprises has a beta of -0.022. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yuan Jen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yuan Jen Enterprises is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yuan Jen Enterprises has an alpha of 0.0063, implying that it can generate a 0.00629 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yuan Jen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yuan Jen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuan Jen Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7839.7041.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.9933.9143.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.6338.5540.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.3141.0442.77
Details

Yuan Jen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yuan Jen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yuan Jen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yuan Jen Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yuan Jen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Yuan Jen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yuan Jen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yuan Jen Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yuan Jen Enterprises has accumulated about 2.58 B in cash with (67.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.17.
Roughly 91.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Yuan Jen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yuan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yuan Jen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yuan Jen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding181.8 M

Yuan Jen Technical Analysis

Yuan Jen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yuan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yuan Jen Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yuan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yuan Jen Predictive Forecast Models

Yuan Jen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yuan Jen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yuan Jen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yuan Jen Enterprises

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yuan Jen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yuan Jen Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yuan Jen Enterprises has accumulated about 2.58 B in cash with (67.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.17.
Roughly 91.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Yuan Stock Analysis

When running Yuan Jen's price analysis, check to measure Yuan Jen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yuan Jen is operating at the current time. Most of Yuan Jen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yuan Jen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yuan Jen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yuan Jen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.