Hold Key (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.8
| 1618 Stock | TWD 42.65 0.70 1.61% |
Hold |
Hold Key Target Price Odds to finish over 41.8
The tendency of Hold Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 41.80 in 90 days |
| 42.65 | 90 days | 41.80 | about 83.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hold Key to stay above NT$ 41.80 in 90 days from now is about 83.25 (This Hold Key Electric Wire probability density function shows the probability of Hold Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hold Key Electric price to stay between NT$ 41.80 and its current price of NT$42.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hold Key has a beta of 0.0367. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hold Key average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hold Key Electric Wire will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hold Key Electric Wire has an alpha of 0.0409, implying that it can generate a 0.0409 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hold Key Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hold Key
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hold Key Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hold Key Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hold Key is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hold Key's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hold Key Electric Wire, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hold Key within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Hold Key Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hold Key for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hold Key Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hold Key Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hold Key Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hold Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hold Key's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hold Key's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 154.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 72.3 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 429 K |
Hold Key Technical Analysis
Hold Key's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hold Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hold Key Electric Wire. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hold Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hold Key Predictive Forecast Models
Hold Key's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hold Key's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hold Key's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hold Key Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hold Key for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hold Key Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hold Key Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Hold Stock Analysis
When running Hold Key's price analysis, check to measure Hold Key's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hold Key is operating at the current time. Most of Hold Key's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hold Key's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hold Key's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hold Key to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.