Jenn Feng (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.88
| 1538 Stock | TWD 27.90 0.10 0.36% |
Jenn |
Jenn Feng Target Price Odds to finish below 22.88
The tendency of Jenn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 22.88 or more in 90 days |
| 27.90 | 90 days | 22.88 | about 70.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jenn Feng to drop to NT$ 22.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.88 (This Jenn Feng New probability density function shows the probability of Jenn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jenn Feng New price to stay between NT$ 22.88 and its current price of NT$27.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jenn Feng New has a beta of -0.45. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jenn Feng are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jenn Feng New is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jenn Feng New has an alpha of 0.8976, implying that it can generate a 0.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jenn Feng Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jenn Feng
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jenn Feng New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jenn Feng Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jenn Feng is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jenn Feng's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jenn Feng New, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jenn Feng within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Jenn Feng Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jenn Feng for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jenn Feng New can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jenn Feng New is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jenn Feng New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jenn Feng New has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Jenn Feng New has accumulated 13.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 233.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jenn Feng New has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jenn Feng until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jenn Feng's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jenn Feng New sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jenn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jenn Feng's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 265.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (135.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.38 M. | |
| Jenn Feng New has accumulated about 22.76 M in cash with (34.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of Jenn Feng shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Jenn Feng Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jenn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jenn Feng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jenn Feng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.4 M |
Jenn Feng Technical Analysis
Jenn Feng's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jenn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jenn Feng New. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jenn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jenn Feng Predictive Forecast Models
Jenn Feng's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jenn Feng's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jenn Feng's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jenn Feng New
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jenn Feng for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jenn Feng New help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jenn Feng New is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jenn Feng New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jenn Feng New has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Jenn Feng New has accumulated 13.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 233.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jenn Feng New has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jenn Feng until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jenn Feng's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jenn Feng New sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jenn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jenn Feng's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 265.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (135.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.38 M. | |
| Jenn Feng New has accumulated about 22.76 M in cash with (34.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.41. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of Jenn Feng shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Jenn Stock Analysis
When running Jenn Feng's price analysis, check to measure Jenn Feng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jenn Feng is operating at the current time. Most of Jenn Feng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jenn Feng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jenn Feng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jenn Feng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.