Yi Jinn (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.33

1457 Stock  TWD 19.85  0.15  0.75%   
Yi Jinn's future price is the expected price of Yi Jinn instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yi Jinn Industrial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yi Jinn Backtesting, Yi Jinn Valuation, Yi Jinn Correlation, Yi Jinn Hype Analysis, Yi Jinn Volatility, Yi Jinn History as well as Yi Jinn Performance.
  
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Yi Jinn Target Price Odds to finish below 19.33

The tendency of 1457 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 19.33  or more in 90 days
 19.85 90 days 19.33 
about 11.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yi Jinn to drop to NT$ 19.33  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.78 (This Yi Jinn Industrial probability density function shows the probability of 1457 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yi Jinn Industrial price to stay between NT$ 19.33  and its current price of NT$19.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yi Jinn Industrial has a beta of -0.0982. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yi Jinn are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yi Jinn Industrial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yi Jinn Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yi Jinn Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yi Jinn

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yi Jinn Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2419.8520.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7718.3821.84
Details

Yi Jinn Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yi Jinn is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yi Jinn's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yi Jinn Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yi Jinn within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Yi Jinn Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yi Jinn for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yi Jinn Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yi Jinn Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yi Jinn Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Yi Jinn Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1457 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yi Jinn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yi Jinn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding223.2 M

Yi Jinn Technical Analysis

Yi Jinn's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1457 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yi Jinn Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1457 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yi Jinn Predictive Forecast Models

Yi Jinn's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yi Jinn's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yi Jinn's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yi Jinn Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yi Jinn for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yi Jinn Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yi Jinn Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yi Jinn Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 1457 Stock Analysis

When running Yi Jinn's price analysis, check to measure Yi Jinn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yi Jinn is operating at the current time. Most of Yi Jinn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yi Jinn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yi Jinn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yi Jinn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.