Formosa Taffeta (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.7
| 1434 Stock | TWD 19.25 0.40 2.04% |
Formosa |
Formosa Taffeta Target Price Odds to finish below 19.7
The tendency of Formosa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 19.70 after 90 days |
| 19.25 | 90 days | 19.70 | about 20.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Formosa Taffeta to stay under NT$ 19.70 after 90 days from now is about 20.8 (This Formosa Taffeta Co probability density function shows the probability of Formosa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Formosa Taffeta price to stay between its current price of NT$ 19.25 and NT$ 19.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Formosa Taffeta has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Formosa Taffeta average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Formosa Taffeta Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Formosa Taffeta Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Formosa Taffeta Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Formosa Taffeta
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formosa Taffeta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Formosa Taffeta Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Formosa Taffeta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Formosa Taffeta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Formosa Taffeta Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Formosa Taffeta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Formosa Taffeta Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Formosa Taffeta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Formosa Taffeta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Formosa Taffeta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Formosa Taffeta Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Formosa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Formosa Taffeta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Formosa Taffeta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B |
Formosa Taffeta Technical Analysis
Formosa Taffeta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Formosa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Formosa Taffeta Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Formosa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Formosa Taffeta Predictive Forecast Models
Formosa Taffeta's time-series forecasting models is one of many Formosa Taffeta's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Formosa Taffeta's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Formosa Taffeta
Checking the ongoing alerts about Formosa Taffeta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Formosa Taffeta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Formosa Taffeta generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Formosa Stock Analysis
When running Formosa Taffeta's price analysis, check to measure Formosa Taffeta's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Formosa Taffeta is operating at the current time. Most of Formosa Taffeta's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Formosa Taffeta's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Formosa Taffeta's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Formosa Taffeta to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.