Daesung Industrial (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,173

128820 Stock   3,345  5.00  0.15%   
Daesung Industrial's future price is the expected price of Daesung Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Daesung Industrial Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Daesung Industrial Backtesting, Daesung Industrial Valuation, Daesung Industrial Correlation, Daesung Industrial Hype Analysis, Daesung Industrial Volatility, Daesung Industrial History as well as Daesung Industrial Performance.
  
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Daesung Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 4,173

The tendency of Daesung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 3,345 90 days 3,345 
about 69.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daesung Industrial to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 69.3 (This Daesung Industrial Co probability density function shows the probability of Daesung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daesung Industrial Co has a beta of -0.32. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Daesung Industrial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Daesung Industrial Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Daesung Industrial Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Daesung Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Daesung Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daesung Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,3433,3453,347
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7732,7753,680
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,3043,3063,308
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,0863,2783,469
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daesung Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daesung Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daesung Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Daesung Industrial.

Daesung Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daesung Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daesung Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daesung Industrial Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daesung Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
101.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Daesung Industrial Technical Analysis

Daesung Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daesung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daesung Industrial Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daesung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Daesung Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Daesung Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daesung Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daesung Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Daesung Industrial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Daesung Industrial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Daesung Industrial options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Daesung Stock

Daesung Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daesung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daesung with respect to the benefits of owning Daesung Industrial security.