An Shin (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.20

1259 Stock  TWD 65.10  0.70  1.09%   
An Shin's future price is the expected price of An Shin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of An Shin Food Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out An Shin Backtesting, An Shin Valuation, An Shin Correlation, An Shin Hype Analysis, An Shin Volatility, An Shin History as well as An Shin Performance.
  
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An Shin Target Price Odds to finish below 62.20

The tendency of 1259 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 62.20  or more in 90 days
 65.10 90 days 62.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of An Shin to drop to NT$ 62.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This An Shin Food Services probability density function shows the probability of 1259 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of An Shin Food price to stay between NT$ 62.20  and its current price of NT$65.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon An Shin Food Services has a beta of -0.0164. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding An Shin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, An Shin Food Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally An Shin Food Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   An Shin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for An Shin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as An Shin Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.6265.1065.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.5977.8578.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.4664.9465.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.6164.9965.37
Details

An Shin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. An Shin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the An Shin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold An Shin Food Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of An Shin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.56

An Shin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of An Shin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for An Shin Food can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
An Shin Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

An Shin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1259 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential An Shin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. An Shin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.4 M
Dividends Paid96.8 M

An Shin Technical Analysis

An Shin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1259 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of An Shin Food Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1259 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

An Shin Predictive Forecast Models

An Shin's time-series forecasting models is one of many An Shin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary An Shin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about An Shin Food

Checking the ongoing alerts about An Shin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for An Shin Food help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
An Shin Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 1259 Stock Analysis

When running An Shin's price analysis, check to measure An Shin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy An Shin is operating at the current time. Most of An Shin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of An Shin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move An Shin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of An Shin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.