Formosa Oilseed (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.53
| 1225 Stock | TWD 38.65 2.25 5.50% |
Formosa |
Formosa Oilseed Target Price Odds to finish over 37.53
The tendency of Formosa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 37.53 in 90 days |
| 38.65 | 90 days | 37.53 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Formosa Oilseed to stay above NT$ 37.53 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Formosa Oilseed Processing probability density function shows the probability of Formosa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Formosa Oilseed Proc price to stay between NT$ 37.53 and its current price of NT$38.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Formosa Oilseed has a beta of 0.64. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Formosa Oilseed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Formosa Oilseed Processing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Formosa Oilseed Processing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Formosa Oilseed Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Formosa Oilseed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formosa Oilseed Proc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Formosa Oilseed Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Formosa Oilseed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Formosa Oilseed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Formosa Oilseed Processing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Formosa Oilseed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Formosa Oilseed Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Formosa Oilseed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Formosa Oilseed Proc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Formosa Oilseed Proc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Formosa Oilseed Proc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Formosa Oilseed Proc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Formosa Oilseed Processing has accumulated about 1.52 B in cash with (599.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.91. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Formosa Oilseed Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Formosa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Formosa Oilseed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Formosa Oilseed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 218.7 M |
Formosa Oilseed Technical Analysis
Formosa Oilseed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Formosa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Formosa Oilseed Processing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Formosa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Formosa Oilseed Predictive Forecast Models
Formosa Oilseed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Formosa Oilseed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Formosa Oilseed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Formosa Oilseed Proc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Formosa Oilseed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Formosa Oilseed Proc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Formosa Oilseed Proc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Formosa Oilseed Proc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Formosa Oilseed Proc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Formosa Oilseed Processing has accumulated about 1.52 B in cash with (599.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.91. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Formosa Stock Analysis
When running Formosa Oilseed's price analysis, check to measure Formosa Oilseed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Formosa Oilseed is operating at the current time. Most of Formosa Oilseed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Formosa Oilseed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Formosa Oilseed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Formosa Oilseed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.