Finetechnix CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 823.17

106240 Stock  KRW 881.00  62.00  7.57%   
Finetechnix CoLtd's future price is the expected price of Finetechnix CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Finetechnix CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Finetechnix CoLtd Backtesting, Finetechnix CoLtd Valuation, Finetechnix CoLtd Correlation, Finetechnix CoLtd Hype Analysis, Finetechnix CoLtd Volatility, Finetechnix CoLtd History as well as Finetechnix CoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify Finetechnix CoLtd's target price for which you would like Finetechnix CoLtd odds to be computed.

Finetechnix CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 823.17

The tendency of Finetechnix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 823.17  or more in 90 days
 881.00 90 days 823.17 
about 9.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finetechnix CoLtd to drop to W 823.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.77 (This Finetechnix CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Finetechnix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Finetechnix CoLtd price to stay between W 823.17  and its current price of W881.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Finetechnix CoLtd has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Finetechnix CoLtd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Finetechnix CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Finetechnix CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Finetechnix CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Finetechnix CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finetechnix CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
878.80881.00883.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
788.63790.83969.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Finetechnix CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Finetechnix CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Finetechnix CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Finetechnix CoLtd.

Finetechnix CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finetechnix CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finetechnix CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finetechnix CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finetechnix CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
129.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Finetechnix CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finetechnix CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finetechnix CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Finetechnix CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Finetechnix CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finetechnix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finetechnix CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finetechnix CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments53.6 B

Finetechnix CoLtd Technical Analysis

Finetechnix CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finetechnix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finetechnix CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finetechnix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Finetechnix CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

Finetechnix CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finetechnix CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finetechnix CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Finetechnix CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Finetechnix CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finetechnix CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Finetechnix CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Finetechnix Stock

Finetechnix CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Finetechnix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Finetechnix with respect to the benefits of owning Finetechnix CoLtd security.