Mercury Corp (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4085.0

100590 Stock   3,935  150.00  3.67%   
Mercury Corp's future price is the expected price of Mercury Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mercury Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mercury Corp Backtesting, Mercury Corp Valuation, Mercury Corp Correlation, Mercury Corp Hype Analysis, Mercury Corp Volatility, Mercury Corp History as well as Mercury Corp Performance.
  
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Mercury Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 4085.0

The tendency of Mercury Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4,085  or more in 90 days
 3,935 90 days 4,085 
about 10.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mercury Corp to move over  4,085  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.24 (This Mercury Corp probability density function shows the probability of Mercury Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mercury Corp price to stay between its current price of  3,935  and  4,085  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mercury Corp has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mercury Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mercury Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mercury Corp has an alpha of 0.3142, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mercury Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mercury Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercury Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9303,9353,940
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,1933,1974,328
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,1384,1424,147
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,8664,0194,173
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mercury Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mercury Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mercury Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mercury Corp.

Mercury Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mercury Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mercury Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mercury Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mercury Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
301.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Mercury Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mercury Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mercury Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mercury Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Mercury Corp Technical Analysis

Mercury Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mercury Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mercury Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mercury Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mercury Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Mercury Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mercury Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mercury Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mercury Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mercury Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mercury Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mercury Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Mercury Stock

Mercury Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mercury Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mercury with respect to the benefits of owning Mercury Corp security.