Endo International (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 626.36
| 0Y5F Stock | 599.39 13.27 2.17% |
Endo |
Endo International Target Price Odds to finish below 626.36
The tendency of Endo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 626.36 after 90 days |
| 599.39 | 90 days | 626.36 | about 15.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Endo International to stay under 626.36 after 90 days from now is about 15.12 (This Endo International PLC probability density function shows the probability of Endo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Endo International PLC price to stay between its current price of 599.39 and 626.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Endo International has a beta of 0.0236. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Endo International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Endo International PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Endo International PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Endo International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Endo International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endo International PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Endo International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Endo International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Endo International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Endo International PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Endo International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Endo International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Endo International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Endo International PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Endo International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.45 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Endo Launches Doxycycline for Injection, USP - Yahoo Canada Finance |
Endo International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Endo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Endo International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endo International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 235.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 945.6 M |
Endo International Technical Analysis
Endo International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Endo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Endo International PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Endo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Endo International Predictive Forecast Models
Endo International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Endo International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Endo International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Endo International PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Endo International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Endo International PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Endo International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.45 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.29 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Endo Launches Doxycycline for Injection, USP - Yahoo Canada Finance |
Additional Tools for Endo Stock Analysis
When running Endo International's price analysis, check to measure Endo International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Endo International is operating at the current time. Most of Endo International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Endo International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Endo International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Endo International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.