Axway Software (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.56
| 0P5L Stock | 27.70 0.20 0.73% |
Axway |
Axway Software Target Price Odds to finish below 20.56
The tendency of Axway Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 20.56 or more in 90 days |
| 27.70 | 90 days | 20.56 | about 1.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axway Software to drop to 20.56 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.38 (This Axway Software SA probability density function shows the probability of Axway Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axway Software SA price to stay between 20.56 and its current price of 27.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Axway Software has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Axway Software average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Axway Software SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Axway Software SA has an alpha of 0.2423, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Axway Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axway Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axway Software SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Axway Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axway Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axway Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axway Software SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axway Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Axway Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axway Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axway Software SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axway Software SA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Axway Software Technical Analysis
Axway Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axway Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axway Software SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axway Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axway Software Predictive Forecast Models
Axway Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many Axway Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axway Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axway Software SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axway Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axway Software SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axway Software SA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Axway Stock Analysis
When running Axway Software's price analysis, check to measure Axway Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axway Software is operating at the current time. Most of Axway Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axway Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axway Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axway Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.