Pacteo Actions (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 16.85

0P00008W4A  EUR 16.45  0.25  1.50%   
Pacteo Actions' future price is the expected price of Pacteo Actions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pacteo Actions Europe performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pacteo Actions Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pacteo Actions Correlation, Pacteo Actions Hype Analysis, Pacteo Actions Volatility, Pacteo Actions History as well as Pacteo Actions Performance.
  
Please specify Pacteo Actions' target price for which you would like Pacteo Actions odds to be computed.

Pacteo Actions Target Price Odds to finish over 16.85

The tendency of Pacteo Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 16.85  or more in 90 days
 16.45 90 days 16.85 
about 21.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pacteo Actions to move over € 16.85  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.84 (This Pacteo Actions Europe probability density function shows the probability of Pacteo Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pacteo Actions Europe price to stay between its current price of € 16.45  and € 16.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pacteo Actions has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pacteo Actions average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pacteo Actions Europe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pacteo Actions Europe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pacteo Actions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pacteo Actions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacteo Actions Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7416.4517.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.8016.5117.22
Details

Pacteo Actions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pacteo Actions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pacteo Actions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pacteo Actions Europe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pacteo Actions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Pacteo Actions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pacteo Actions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pacteo Actions Europe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacteo Actions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pacteo Actions Europe generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds 99.81% of its total net assets in equities

Pacteo Actions Technical Analysis

Pacteo Actions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pacteo Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pacteo Actions Europe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pacteo Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pacteo Actions Predictive Forecast Models

Pacteo Actions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pacteo Actions' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pacteo Actions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pacteo Actions Europe

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pacteo Actions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pacteo Actions Europe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pacteo Actions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pacteo Actions Europe generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund holds 99.81% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in Pacteo Fund

Pacteo Actions financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacteo Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacteo with respect to the benefits of owning Pacteo Actions security.
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