AP Moeller (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10553.13

0O77 Stock   11,420  106.92  0.93%   
AP Moeller's future price is the expected price of AP Moeller instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AP Moeller performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AP Moeller Backtesting, AP Moeller Valuation, AP Moeller Correlation, AP Moeller Hype Analysis, AP Moeller Volatility, AP Moeller History as well as AP Moeller Performance.
  
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AP Moeller Target Price Odds to finish below 10553.13

The tendency of 0O77 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  10,553  or more in 90 days
 11,420 90 days 10,553 
about 21.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AP Moeller to drop to  10,553  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.47 (This AP Moeller probability density function shows the probability of 0O77 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AP Moeller price to stay between  10,553  and its current price of 11420.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AP Moeller has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AP Moeller average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AP Moeller will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AP Moeller has an alpha of 0.1215, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AP Moeller Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AP Moeller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AP Moeller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,39111,39412,562
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,4709,47312,562
Details

AP Moeller Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AP Moeller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AP Moeller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AP Moeller , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AP Moeller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
763.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

AP Moeller Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AP Moeller for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AP Moeller can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AP Moeller is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Morgan Stanley cuts Maersk stock rating to underweight, lowers price target - Investing.com

AP Moeller Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 0O77 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AP Moeller's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AP Moeller's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0041
Shares Float8.5 M

AP Moeller Technical Analysis

AP Moeller's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 0O77 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AP Moeller . In general, you should focus on analyzing 0O77 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AP Moeller Predictive Forecast Models

AP Moeller's time-series forecasting models is one of many AP Moeller's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AP Moeller's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AP Moeller

Checking the ongoing alerts about AP Moeller for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AP Moeller help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AP Moeller is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Morgan Stanley cuts Maersk stock rating to underweight, lowers price target - Investing.com

Additional Tools for 0O77 Stock Analysis

When running AP Moeller's price analysis, check to measure AP Moeller's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AP Moeller is operating at the current time. Most of AP Moeller's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AP Moeller's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AP Moeller's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AP Moeller to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.