Markel Corp (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1750.91
| 0JYM Stock | 1,753 2.32 0.13% |
Markel |
Markel Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 1750.91
The tendency of Markel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,751 in 90 days |
| 1,753 | 90 days | 1,751 | about 12.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Markel Corp to stay above 1,751 in 90 days from now is about 12.25 (This Markel Corp probability density function shows the probability of Markel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Markel Corp price to stay between 1,751 and its current price of 1753.23 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Markel Corp has a beta of 0.1. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Markel Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Markel Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Markel Corp has an alpha of 0.1534, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Markel Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Markel Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Markel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Markel Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Markel Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Markel Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Markel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Markel Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 86.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Markel Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Markel Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Markel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Markel Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tidal Investments LLC Sells 776 Shares of Markel Group Inc. - MarketBeat |
Markel Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Markel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Markel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Markel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.2 B |
Markel Corp Technical Analysis
Markel Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Markel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Markel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Markel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Markel Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Markel Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Markel Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Markel Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Markel Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Markel Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Markel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Markel Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tidal Investments LLC Sells 776 Shares of Markel Group Inc. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Markel Stock Analysis
When running Markel Corp's price analysis, check to measure Markel Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Markel Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Markel Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Markel Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Markel Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Markel Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.