CJ Cheiljedang (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 284500.0

097950 Stock   260,500  7,500  2.80%   
CJ Cheiljedang's future price is the expected price of CJ Cheiljedang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CJ Cheiljedang performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CJ Cheiljedang Backtesting, CJ Cheiljedang Valuation, CJ Cheiljedang Correlation, CJ Cheiljedang Hype Analysis, CJ Cheiljedang Volatility, CJ Cheiljedang History as well as CJ Cheiljedang Performance.
  
Please specify CJ Cheiljedang's target price for which you would like CJ Cheiljedang odds to be computed.

CJ Cheiljedang Target Price Odds to finish below 284500.0

The tendency of 097950 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  284,500  after 90 days
 260,500 90 days 284,500 
about 62.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CJ Cheiljedang to stay under  284,500  after 90 days from now is about 62.8 (This CJ Cheiljedang probability density function shows the probability of 097950 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CJ Cheiljedang price to stay between its current price of  260,500  and  284,500  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CJ Cheiljedang has a beta of -0.33. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CJ Cheiljedang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CJ Cheiljedang is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CJ Cheiljedang has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CJ Cheiljedang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CJ Cheiljedang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CJ Cheiljedang. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
260,498260,500260,502
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
225,956225,958286,550
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
261,751261,753261,755
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
256,035267,275278,515
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CJ Cheiljedang. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CJ Cheiljedang's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CJ Cheiljedang's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CJ Cheiljedang.

CJ Cheiljedang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CJ Cheiljedang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CJ Cheiljedang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CJ Cheiljedang, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CJ Cheiljedang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
18,123
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

CJ Cheiljedang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CJ Cheiljedang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CJ Cheiljedang can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CJ Cheiljedang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

CJ Cheiljedang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 097950 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CJ Cheiljedang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CJ Cheiljedang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M

CJ Cheiljedang Technical Analysis

CJ Cheiljedang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 097950 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CJ Cheiljedang. In general, you should focus on analyzing 097950 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CJ Cheiljedang Predictive Forecast Models

CJ Cheiljedang's time-series forecasting models is one of many CJ Cheiljedang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CJ Cheiljedang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CJ Cheiljedang

Checking the ongoing alerts about CJ Cheiljedang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CJ Cheiljedang help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CJ Cheiljedang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 097950 Stock

CJ Cheiljedang financial ratios help investors to determine whether 097950 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 097950 with respect to the benefits of owning CJ Cheiljedang security.