SEOWONINTECHCoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5490.0

093920 Stock  KRW 5,510  20.00  0.36%   
SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's future price is the expected price of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Backtesting, SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Valuation, SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Correlation, SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Hype Analysis, SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Volatility, SEOWONINTECHCoLtd History as well as SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's target price for which you would like SEOWONINTECHCoLtd odds to be computed.

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 5490.0

The tendency of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 5,490  or more in 90 days
 5,510 90 days 5,490 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd to drop to W 5,490  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This SEOWONINTECHCoLtd probability density function shows the probability of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd price to stay between W 5,490  and its current price of W5510.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SEOWONINTECHCoLtd has a beta of -0.0718. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SEOWONINTECHCoLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SEOWONINTECHCoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SEOWONINTECHCoLtd has an alpha of 0.0585, implying that it can generate a 0.0585 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SEOWONINTECHCoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEOWONINTECHCoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,5095,5105,511
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,6434,6446,061
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,5845,5855,586
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,5105,5105,510
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SEOWONINTECHCoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SEOWONINTECHCoLtd.

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEOWONINTECHCoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEOWONINTECHCoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
86.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SEOWONINTECHCoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments93.6 B

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Technical Analysis

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEOWONINTECHCoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEOWONINTECHCoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SEOWONINTECHCoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about SEOWONINTECHCoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SEOWONINTECHCoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Stock

SEOWONINTECHCoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether SEOWONINTECHCoLtd Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SEOWONINTECHCoLtd with respect to the benefits of owning SEOWONINTECHCoLtd security.