Tway Air (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,600

091810 Stock   2,710  80.00  3.04%   
Tway Air's future price is the expected price of Tway Air instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tway Air Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tway Air Backtesting, Tway Air Valuation, Tway Air Correlation, Tway Air Hype Analysis, Tway Air Volatility, Tway Air History as well as Tway Air Performance.
  
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Tway Air Target Price Odds to finish below 2,600

The tendency of Tway Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,710 90 days 2,710 
about 11.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tway Air to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 11.28 (This Tway Air Co probability density function shows the probability of Tway Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tway Air has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tway Air average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tway Air Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tway Air Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tway Air Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tway Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tway Air. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,7052,7102,715
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4552,4602,981
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,6992,7042,709
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,5202,9073,294
Details

Tway Air Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tway Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tway Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tway Air Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tway Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
233.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Tway Air Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tway Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tway Air can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tway Air generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tway Air has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 214.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (156.24 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (109.21 B).
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tway Air Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tway Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tway Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tway Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118.2 M

Tway Air Technical Analysis

Tway Air's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tway Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tway Air Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tway Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tway Air Predictive Forecast Models

Tway Air's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tway Air's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tway Air's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tway Air

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tway Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tway Air help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tway Air generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tway Air has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 214.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (156.24 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (109.21 B).
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Tway Stock

Tway Air financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tway Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tway with respect to the benefits of owning Tway Air security.