Dong A (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5105.0

088130 Stock  KRW 3,840  140.00  3.52%   
Dong A's future price is the expected price of Dong A instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dong A Eltek performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dong A Backtesting, Dong A Valuation, Dong A Correlation, Dong A Hype Analysis, Dong A Volatility, Dong A History as well as Dong A Performance.
  
Please specify Dong A's target price for which you would like Dong A odds to be computed.

Dong A Target Price Odds to finish below 5105.0

The tendency of Dong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 5,105  after 90 days
 3,840 90 days 5,105 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dong A to stay under W 5,105  after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Dong A Eltek probability density function shows the probability of Dong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dong A Eltek price to stay between its current price of W 3,840  and W 5,105  at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dong A Eltek has a beta of -0.8. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dong A are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dong A Eltek is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dong A Eltek has an alpha of 0.3278, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dong A Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dong A

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dong A Eltek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9773,9803,983
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,5393,5424,378
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dong A. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dong A's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dong A's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dong A Eltek.

Dong A Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dong A is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dong A's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dong A Eltek, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dong A within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
386.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Dong A Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dong A for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dong A Eltek can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dong A Eltek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dong A Eltek has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 173.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (390.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.22 B.
Dong A Eltek has accumulated about 45.26 B in cash with (12.09 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Dong A Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dong A's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dong A's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments67.4 B

Dong A Technical Analysis

Dong A's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dong A Eltek. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dong A Predictive Forecast Models

Dong A's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dong A's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dong A's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dong A Eltek

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dong A for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dong A Eltek help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dong A Eltek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dong A Eltek has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 173.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (390.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.22 B.
Dong A Eltek has accumulated about 45.26 B in cash with (12.09 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Dong Stock

Dong A financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dong with respect to the benefits of owning Dong A security.