Mobile Appliance (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2255.0

087260 Stock   1,994  5.00  0.25%   
Mobile Appliance's future price is the expected price of Mobile Appliance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mobile Appliance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mobile Appliance Backtesting, Mobile Appliance Valuation, Mobile Appliance Correlation, Mobile Appliance Hype Analysis, Mobile Appliance Volatility, Mobile Appliance History as well as Mobile Appliance Performance.
  
Please specify Mobile Appliance's target price for which you would like Mobile Appliance odds to be computed.

Mobile Appliance Target Price Odds to finish below 2255.0

The tendency of Mobile Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  2,255  after 90 days
 1,994 90 days 2,255 
about 87.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobile Appliance to stay under  2,255  after 90 days from now is about 87.33 (This Mobile Appliance probability density function shows the probability of Mobile Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mobile Appliance price to stay between its current price of  1,994  and  2,255  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mobile Appliance has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mobile Appliance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mobile Appliance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mobile Appliance has an alpha of 0.0785, implying that it can generate a 0.0785 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mobile Appliance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mobile Appliance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobile Appliance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,9871,9891,991
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7301,7312,188
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,0142,0152,017
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,8972,0172,136
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mobile Appliance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mobile Appliance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mobile Appliance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mobile Appliance.

Mobile Appliance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobile Appliance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobile Appliance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobile Appliance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobile Appliance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
116.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Mobile Appliance Technical Analysis

Mobile Appliance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobile Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobile Appliance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobile Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mobile Appliance Predictive Forecast Models

Mobile Appliance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobile Appliance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobile Appliance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mobile Appliance in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mobile Appliance's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mobile Appliance options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Mobile Stock

Mobile Appliance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mobile Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mobile with respect to the benefits of owning Mobile Appliance security.