NewFlex Technology (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4662.29

085670 Stock  KRW 4,195  240.00  6.07%   
NewFlex Technology's future price is the expected price of NewFlex Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NewFlex Technology Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NewFlex Technology Backtesting, NewFlex Technology Valuation, NewFlex Technology Correlation, NewFlex Technology Hype Analysis, NewFlex Technology Volatility, NewFlex Technology History as well as NewFlex Technology Performance.
  
Please specify NewFlex Technology's target price for which you would like NewFlex Technology odds to be computed.

NewFlex Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 4662.29

The tendency of NewFlex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 4,662  or more in 90 days
 4,195 90 days 4,662 
about 75.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NewFlex Technology to move over W 4,662  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.71 (This NewFlex Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of NewFlex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NewFlex Technology price to stay between its current price of W 4,195  and W 4,662  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NewFlex Technology has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, NewFlex Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NewFlex Technology Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NewFlex Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NewFlex Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NewFlex Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewFlex Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,9513,9553,959
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,8963,9014,350
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,3723,3773,381
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0564,5565,056
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NewFlex Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NewFlex Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NewFlex Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NewFlex Technology.

NewFlex Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NewFlex Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NewFlex Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NewFlex Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NewFlex Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
677.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

NewFlex Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NewFlex Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NewFlex Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NewFlex Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NewFlex Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

NewFlex Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NewFlex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NewFlex Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NewFlex Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B
Shares Float16.6 M

NewFlex Technology Technical Analysis

NewFlex Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NewFlex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NewFlex Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing NewFlex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NewFlex Technology Predictive Forecast Models

NewFlex Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many NewFlex Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NewFlex Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NewFlex Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about NewFlex Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NewFlex Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NewFlex Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NewFlex Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in NewFlex Stock

NewFlex Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether NewFlex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NewFlex with respect to the benefits of owning NewFlex Technology security.