ITM Semiconductor (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14641.27

084850 Stock   14,100  100.00  0.71%   
ITM Semiconductor's future price is the expected price of ITM Semiconductor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ITM Semiconductor Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ITM Semiconductor Backtesting, ITM Semiconductor Valuation, ITM Semiconductor Correlation, ITM Semiconductor Hype Analysis, ITM Semiconductor Volatility, ITM Semiconductor History as well as ITM Semiconductor Performance.
  
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ITM Semiconductor Target Price Odds to finish below 14641.27

The tendency of ITM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  14,641  after 90 days
 14,100 90 days 14,641 
about 10.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ITM Semiconductor to stay under  14,641  after 90 days from now is about 10.44 (This ITM Semiconductor Co probability density function shows the probability of ITM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ITM Semiconductor price to stay between its current price of  14,100  and  14,641  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ITM Semiconductor has a beta of 0.56. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ITM Semiconductor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ITM Semiconductor Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ITM Semiconductor Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ITM Semiconductor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ITM Semiconductor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ITM Semiconductor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,09814,10014,102
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,11113,11315,510
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,49314,49614,498
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12,66416,47720,290
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ITM Semiconductor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ITM Semiconductor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ITM Semiconductor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ITM Semiconductor.

ITM Semiconductor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ITM Semiconductor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ITM Semiconductor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ITM Semiconductor Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ITM Semiconductor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
2,720
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

ITM Semiconductor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ITM Semiconductor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ITM Semiconductor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ITM Semiconductor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ITM Semiconductor Technical Analysis

ITM Semiconductor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ITM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ITM Semiconductor Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing ITM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ITM Semiconductor Predictive Forecast Models

ITM Semiconductor's time-series forecasting models is one of many ITM Semiconductor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ITM Semiconductor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ITM Semiconductor

Checking the ongoing alerts about ITM Semiconductor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ITM Semiconductor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ITM Semiconductor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ITM Stock

ITM Semiconductor financial ratios help investors to determine whether ITM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ITM with respect to the benefits of owning ITM Semiconductor security.