Sungwoo Electronics (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3798.13

081580 Stock   3,670  80.00  2.23%   
Sungwoo Electronics' future price is the expected price of Sungwoo Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sungwoo Electronics Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sungwoo Electronics Backtesting, Sungwoo Electronics Valuation, Sungwoo Electronics Correlation, Sungwoo Electronics Hype Analysis, Sungwoo Electronics Volatility, Sungwoo Electronics History as well as Sungwoo Electronics Performance.
  
Please specify Sungwoo Electronics' target price for which you would like Sungwoo Electronics odds to be computed.

Sungwoo Electronics Target Price Odds to finish over 3798.13

The tendency of Sungwoo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3,798  or more in 90 days
 3,670 90 days 3,798 
about 86.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sungwoo Electronics to move over  3,798  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.72 (This Sungwoo Electronics Co probability density function shows the probability of Sungwoo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sungwoo Electronics price to stay between its current price of  3,670  and  3,798  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sungwoo Electronics Co has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sungwoo Electronics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sungwoo Electronics Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sungwoo Electronics Co has an alpha of 0.0059, implying that it can generate a 0.005949 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sungwoo Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sungwoo Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sungwoo Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6673,6703,673
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,3253,3274,037
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,0943,0973,100
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,6433,9584,272
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sungwoo Electronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sungwoo Electronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sungwoo Electronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sungwoo Electronics.

Sungwoo Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sungwoo Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sungwoo Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sungwoo Electronics Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sungwoo Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
428.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Sungwoo Electronics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sungwoo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sungwoo Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sungwoo Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.2 M
Short Long Term Debt11.5 B

Sungwoo Electronics Technical Analysis

Sungwoo Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sungwoo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sungwoo Electronics Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sungwoo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sungwoo Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

Sungwoo Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sungwoo Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sungwoo Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sungwoo Electronics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sungwoo Electronics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sungwoo Electronics options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Sungwoo Stock

Sungwoo Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sungwoo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sungwoo with respect to the benefits of owning Sungwoo Electronics security.