ISE Commerce (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 834.39
| 069920 Stock | KRW 978.00 68.00 7.47% |
ISE |
ISE Commerce Target Price Odds to finish below 834.39
The tendency of ISE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to W 834.39 or more in 90 days |
| 978.00 | 90 days | 834.39 | about 5.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ISE Commerce to drop to W 834.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.13 (This ISE Commerce probability density function shows the probability of ISE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ISE Commerce price to stay between W 834.39 and its current price of W978.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ISE Commerce has a beta of 0.59. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ISE Commerce average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ISE Commerce will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ISE Commerce has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ISE Commerce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ISE Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ISE Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ISE Commerce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ISE Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ISE Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ISE Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ISE Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 348.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
ISE Commerce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ISE Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ISE Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ISE Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ISE Commerce has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ISE Commerce has accumulated about 6.21 B in cash with (2.74 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 300.93. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
ISE Commerce Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ISE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ISE Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ISE Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.3 B |
ISE Commerce Technical Analysis
ISE Commerce's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ISE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ISE Commerce. In general, you should focus on analyzing ISE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ISE Commerce Predictive Forecast Models
ISE Commerce's time-series forecasting models is one of many ISE Commerce's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ISE Commerce's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ISE Commerce
Checking the ongoing alerts about ISE Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ISE Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ISE Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ISE Commerce has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ISE Commerce has accumulated about 6.21 B in cash with (2.74 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 300.93. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in ISE Stock
ISE Commerce financial ratios help investors to determine whether ISE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ISE with respect to the benefits of owning ISE Commerce security.