Mgame Corp (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5190.2

058630 Stock   5,620  120.00  2.18%   
Mgame Corp's future price is the expected price of Mgame Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mgame Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mgame Corp Backtesting, Mgame Corp Valuation, Mgame Corp Correlation, Mgame Corp Hype Analysis, Mgame Corp Volatility, Mgame Corp History as well as Mgame Corp Performance.
  
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Mgame Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 5190.2

The tendency of Mgame Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5,190  or more in 90 days
 5,620 90 days 5,190 
about 5.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mgame Corp to drop to  5,190  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.07 (This Mgame Corp probability density function shows the probability of Mgame Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mgame Corp price to stay between  5,190  and its current price of 5620.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mgame Corp has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mgame Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mgame Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mgame Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mgame Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mgame Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mgame Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,4965,5005,504
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,9004,9046,050
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,1955,1995,203
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,0775,4695,861
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mgame Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mgame Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mgame Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mgame Corp.

Mgame Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mgame Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mgame Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mgame Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mgame Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
565.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Mgame Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mgame Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mgame Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mgame Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Mgame Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mgame Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mgame Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mgame Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.5 M
Short Long Term DebtB

Mgame Corp Technical Analysis

Mgame Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mgame Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mgame Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mgame Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mgame Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Mgame Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mgame Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mgame Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mgame Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mgame Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mgame Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mgame Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Mgame Stock

Mgame Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mgame Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mgame with respect to the benefits of owning Mgame Corp security.