Curo Holdings (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 963.04

051780 Stock  KRW 1,041  34.00  3.16%   
Curo Holdings' future price is the expected price of Curo Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Curo Holdings Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Curo Holdings Backtesting, Curo Holdings Valuation, Curo Holdings Correlation, Curo Holdings Hype Analysis, Curo Holdings Volatility, Curo Holdings History as well as Curo Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify Curo Holdings' target price for which you would like Curo Holdings odds to be computed.

Curo Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 963.04

The tendency of Curo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 963.04  or more in 90 days
 1,041 90 days 963.04 
about 8.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Curo Holdings to drop to W 963.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.64 (This Curo Holdings Co probability density function shows the probability of Curo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Curo Holdings price to stay between W 963.04  and its current price of W1041.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Curo Holdings has a beta of 0.6. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Curo Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Curo Holdings Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Curo Holdings Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Curo Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Curo Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Curo Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0361,0411,046
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
963.04968.131,145
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
974.95980.04985.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
234.451,1702,105
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Curo Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Curo Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Curo Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Curo Holdings.

Curo Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Curo Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Curo Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Curo Holdings Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Curo Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
553.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Curo Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Curo Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Curo Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Curo Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Curo Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 61 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.36 B.
Curo Holdings Co has accumulated about 4.52 B in cash with (1.53 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 13.86.
Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Curo Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Curo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Curo Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Curo Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 B

Curo Holdings Technical Analysis

Curo Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Curo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Curo Holdings Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Curo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Curo Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Curo Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Curo Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Curo Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Curo Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Curo Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Curo Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Curo Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Curo Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 61 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.36 B.
Curo Holdings Co has accumulated about 4.52 B in cash with (1.53 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 13.86.
Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Curo Stock

Curo Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Curo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Curo with respect to the benefits of owning Curo Holdings security.