Spolytech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1648.0
| 050760 Stock | KRW 1,419 82.00 6.13% |
Spolytech |
Spolytech Target Price Odds to finish over 1648.0
The tendency of Spolytech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over W 1,648 or more in 90 days |
| 1,419 | 90 days | 1,648 | about 18.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spolytech to move over W 1,648 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.63 (This Spolytech Co probability density function shows the probability of Spolytech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spolytech price to stay between its current price of W 1,419 and W 1,648 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Spolytech has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Spolytech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Spolytech Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Spolytech Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Spolytech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Spolytech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spolytech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Spolytech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spolytech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spolytech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spolytech Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spolytech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 145.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Spolytech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spolytech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spolytech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Spolytech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Spolytech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spolytech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spolytech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spolytech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 769.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.5 B | |
| Shares Float | 10.1 M |
Spolytech Technical Analysis
Spolytech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spolytech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spolytech Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spolytech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Spolytech Predictive Forecast Models
Spolytech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Spolytech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spolytech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Spolytech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Spolytech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spolytech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Spolytech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Spolytech Stock
Spolytech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Spolytech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Spolytech with respect to the benefits of owning Spolytech security.