KT Hitel (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3913.68

036030 Stock  KRW 3,770  10.00  0.26%   
KT Hitel's future price is the expected price of KT Hitel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KT Hitel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KT Hitel Backtesting, KT Hitel Valuation, KT Hitel Correlation, KT Hitel Hype Analysis, KT Hitel Volatility, KT Hitel History as well as KT Hitel Performance.
  
Please specify KT Hitel's target price for which you would like KT Hitel odds to be computed.

KT Hitel Target Price Odds to finish over 3913.68

The tendency of 036030 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 3,914  or more in 90 days
 3,770 90 days 3,914 
roughly 2.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KT Hitel to move over W 3,914  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.85 (This KT Hitel probability density function shows the probability of 036030 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KT Hitel price to stay between its current price of W 3,770  and W 3,914  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KT Hitel has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KT Hitel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KT Hitel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KT Hitel has an alpha of 0.0, implying that it can generate a 4.3E-5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KT Hitel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KT Hitel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KT Hitel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,7683,7703,772
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,0883,0904,147
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,7463,7493,751
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,4383,6673,895
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KT Hitel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KT Hitel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KT Hitel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KT Hitel.

KT Hitel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KT Hitel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KT Hitel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KT Hitel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KT Hitel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.000043
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
130.83
Ir
Information ratio 0

KT Hitel Technical Analysis

KT Hitel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 036030 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KT Hitel. In general, you should focus on analyzing 036030 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KT Hitel Predictive Forecast Models

KT Hitel's time-series forecasting models is one of many KT Hitel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KT Hitel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KT Hitel in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KT Hitel's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KT Hitel options trading.

Other Information on Investing in 036030 Stock

KT Hitel financial ratios help investors to determine whether 036030 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 036030 with respect to the benefits of owning KT Hitel security.