Seoul Broadcasting (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15,427

034120 Stock   15,310  10.00  0.07%   
Seoul Broadcasting's future price is the expected price of Seoul Broadcasting instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seoul Broadcasting System performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seoul Broadcasting Backtesting, Seoul Broadcasting Valuation, Seoul Broadcasting Correlation, Seoul Broadcasting Hype Analysis, Seoul Broadcasting Volatility, Seoul Broadcasting History as well as Seoul Broadcasting Performance.
  
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Seoul Broadcasting Target Price Odds to finish below 15,427

The tendency of Seoul Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 15,310 90 days 15,310 
about 45.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seoul Broadcasting to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 45.45 (This Seoul Broadcasting System probability density function shows the probability of Seoul Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seoul Broadcasting System has a beta of -0.0332. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seoul Broadcasting are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seoul Broadcasting System is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Seoul Broadcasting System has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seoul Broadcasting Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seoul Broadcasting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seoul Broadcasting System. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,31915,32015,321
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,88212,88416,852
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,07115,07215,073
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,02015,27315,527
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seoul Broadcasting. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seoul Broadcasting's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seoul Broadcasting's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seoul Broadcasting System.

Seoul Broadcasting Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seoul Broadcasting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seoul Broadcasting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seoul Broadcasting System, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seoul Broadcasting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
288.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Seoul Broadcasting Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seoul Broadcasting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seoul Broadcasting System can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Seoul Broadcasting Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seoul Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seoul Broadcasting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seoul Broadcasting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.7 M

Seoul Broadcasting Technical Analysis

Seoul Broadcasting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seoul Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seoul Broadcasting System. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seoul Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seoul Broadcasting Predictive Forecast Models

Seoul Broadcasting's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seoul Broadcasting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seoul Broadcasting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seoul Broadcasting System

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seoul Broadcasting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seoul Broadcasting System help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Seoul Stock

Seoul Broadcasting financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seoul Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seoul with respect to the benefits of owning Seoul Broadcasting security.