Daou Tech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18,527
| 023590 Stock | 18,010 80.00 0.45% |
Daou |
Daou Tech Target Price Odds to finish below 18,527
The tendency of Daou Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 18,010 | 90 days | 18,010 | about 31.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daou Tech to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 31.54 (This Daou Tech probability density function shows the probability of Daou Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daou Tech has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Daou Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Daou Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Daou Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Daou Tech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Daou Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daou Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Daou Tech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daou Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daou Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daou Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daou Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 319.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Daou Tech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daou Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daou Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Daou Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Daou Tech generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Daou Tech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daou Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daou Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daou Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.3 M |
Daou Tech Technical Analysis
Daou Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daou Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daou Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daou Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Daou Tech Predictive Forecast Models
Daou Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daou Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daou Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Daou Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Daou Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daou Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Daou Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Daou Tech generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Daou Stock
Daou Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daou with respect to the benefits of owning Daou Tech security.