Sajo Seafood (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4335.41

014710 Stock   4,650  70.00  1.53%   
Sajo Seafood's future price is the expected price of Sajo Seafood instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sajo Seafood performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sajo Seafood Backtesting, Sajo Seafood Valuation, Sajo Seafood Correlation, Sajo Seafood Hype Analysis, Sajo Seafood Volatility, Sajo Seafood History as well as Sajo Seafood Performance.
  
Please specify Sajo Seafood's target price for which you would like Sajo Seafood odds to be computed.

Sajo Seafood Target Price Odds to finish below 4335.41

The tendency of Sajo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  4,335  or more in 90 days
 4,650 90 days 4,335 
about 10.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sajo Seafood to drop to  4,335  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.93 (This Sajo Seafood probability density function shows the probability of Sajo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sajo Seafood price to stay between  4,335  and its current price of 4650.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sajo Seafood has a beta of -1.35. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Sajo Seafood are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Sajo Seafood is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Sajo Seafood has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sajo Seafood Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sajo Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sajo Seafood. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,5764,5804,584
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,3744,3775,038
Details

Sajo Seafood Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sajo Seafood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sajo Seafood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sajo Seafood, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sajo Seafood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.35
σ
Overall volatility
1,162
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Sajo Seafood Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sajo Seafood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sajo Seafood can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sajo Seafood generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sajo Seafood has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sajo Seafood Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sajo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sajo Seafood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sajo Seafood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.2 M
Short Long Term Debt56.6 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate60
Shares Float6.3 M

Sajo Seafood Technical Analysis

Sajo Seafood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sajo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sajo Seafood. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sajo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sajo Seafood Predictive Forecast Models

Sajo Seafood's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sajo Seafood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sajo Seafood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sajo Seafood

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sajo Seafood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sajo Seafood help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sajo Seafood generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sajo Seafood has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Sajo Stock

Sajo Seafood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sajo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sajo with respect to the benefits of owning Sajo Seafood security.