Nuintek CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 531.04

012340 Stock  KRW 489.00  6.00  1.21%   
Nuintek CoLtd's future price is the expected price of Nuintek CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuintek CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuintek CoLtd Backtesting, Nuintek CoLtd Valuation, Nuintek CoLtd Correlation, Nuintek CoLtd Hype Analysis, Nuintek CoLtd Volatility, Nuintek CoLtd History as well as Nuintek CoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify Nuintek CoLtd's target price for which you would like Nuintek CoLtd odds to be computed.

Nuintek CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish over 531.04

The tendency of Nuintek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 531.04  or more in 90 days
 489.00 90 days 531.04 
about 38.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuintek CoLtd to move over W 531.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 38.95 (This Nuintek CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Nuintek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuintek CoLtd price to stay between its current price of W 489.00  and W 531.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nuintek CoLtd has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuintek CoLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuintek CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuintek CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nuintek CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuintek CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuintek CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
487.32489.00490.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
420.42422.10537.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
490.62492.30493.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
474.50491.50508.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nuintek CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nuintek CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nuintek CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nuintek CoLtd.

Nuintek CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuintek CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuintek CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuintek CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuintek CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
28.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Nuintek CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuintek CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuintek CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuintek CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nuintek CoLtd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Nuintek CoLtd has accumulated 3.67 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 107.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Nuintek CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nuintek CoLtd until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nuintek CoLtd's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nuintek CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nuintek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nuintek CoLtd's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Nuintek CoLtd has accumulated about 15.13 B in cash with (1.31 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 36.45.
Roughly 21.0% of Nuintek CoLtd shares are owned by insiders or employees

Nuintek CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nuintek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nuintek CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuintek CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.1 B

Nuintek CoLtd Technical Analysis

Nuintek CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuintek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuintek CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuintek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuintek CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

Nuintek CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuintek CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuintek CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuintek CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuintek CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuintek CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuintek CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nuintek CoLtd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Nuintek CoLtd has accumulated 3.67 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 107.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Nuintek CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nuintek CoLtd until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nuintek CoLtd's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nuintek CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nuintek to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nuintek CoLtd's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Nuintek CoLtd has accumulated about 15.13 B in cash with (1.31 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 36.45.
Roughly 21.0% of Nuintek CoLtd shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Nuintek Stock

Nuintek CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuintek Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuintek with respect to the benefits of owning Nuintek CoLtd security.