Kumho Petro (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47450.0
| 011785 Stock | 52,000 100.00 0.19% |
Kumho |
Kumho Petro Target Price Odds to finish below 47450.0
The tendency of Kumho Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 47,450 or more in 90 days |
| 52,000 | 90 days | 47,450 | about 11.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kumho Petro to drop to 47,450 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.02 (This Kumho Petro Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Kumho Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kumho Petro Chemical price to stay between 47,450 and its current price of 52000.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kumho Petro Chemical has a beta of -0.41. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kumho Petro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kumho Petro Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kumho Petro Chemical has an alpha of 0.0626, implying that it can generate a 0.0626 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kumho Petro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kumho Petro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kumho Petro Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kumho Petro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kumho Petro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kumho Petro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kumho Petro Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kumho Petro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2,877 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Kumho Petro Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kumho Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kumho Petro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kumho Petro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25 M |
Kumho Petro Technical Analysis
Kumho Petro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kumho Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kumho Petro Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kumho Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kumho Petro Predictive Forecast Models
Kumho Petro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kumho Petro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kumho Petro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kumho Petro in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kumho Petro's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kumho Petro options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Kumho Stock
Kumho Petro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kumho Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kumho with respect to the benefits of owning Kumho Petro security.