OCI (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 58,391

010060 Stock   73,000  7,800  11.96%   
OCI's future price is the expected price of OCI instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OCI Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OCI Backtesting, OCI Valuation, OCI Correlation, OCI Hype Analysis, OCI Volatility, OCI History as well as OCI Performance.
  
Please specify OCI's target price for which you would like OCI odds to be computed.

OCI Target Price Odds to finish below 58,391

The tendency of OCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 73,000 90 days 73,000 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OCI to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This OCI Co probability density function shows the probability of OCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OCI has a beta of 0.0069. This suggests as returns on the market go up, OCI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OCI Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OCI Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OCI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OCI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OCI Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72,99773,00073,003
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57,51657,51980,300
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
71,32171,32571,328
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51,82062,98074,140
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OCI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OCI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OCI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OCI Co.

OCI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OCI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OCI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OCI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OCI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
4,417
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

OCI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OCI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OCI Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OCI Co had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

OCI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OCI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OCI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.8 M

OCI Technical Analysis

OCI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OCI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OCI Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing OCI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OCI Predictive Forecast Models

OCI's time-series forecasting models is one of many OCI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OCI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OCI Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about OCI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OCI Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OCI Co had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in OCI Stock

OCI financial ratios help investors to determine whether OCI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OCI with respect to the benefits of owning OCI security.