Yuanta Global (Taiwan) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 38.56

00876 Etf  TWD 37.84  0.27  0.72%   
Yuanta Global's future price is the expected price of Yuanta Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yuanta Global NexGen performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yuanta Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Yuanta Global Correlation, Yuanta Global Hype Analysis, Yuanta Global Volatility, Yuanta Global History as well as Yuanta Global Performance.
  
Please specify Yuanta Global's target price for which you would like Yuanta Global odds to be computed.

Yuanta Global Target Price Odds to finish below 38.56

The tendency of Yuanta Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 38.56  after 90 days
 37.84 90 days 38.56 
about 89.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yuanta Global to stay under NT$ 38.56  after 90 days from now is about 89.04 (This Yuanta Global NexGen probability density function shows the probability of Yuanta Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yuanta Global NexGen price to stay between its current price of NT$ 37.84  and NT$ 38.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yuanta Global has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Yuanta Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yuanta Global NexGen will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yuanta Global NexGen has an alpha of 0.0571, implying that it can generate a 0.0571 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yuanta Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yuanta Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuanta Global NexGen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.7237.8438.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.7337.8538.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.1838.3039.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.3437.7139.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yuanta Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yuanta Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yuanta Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yuanta Global NexGen.

Yuanta Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yuanta Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yuanta Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yuanta Global NexGen, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yuanta Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.0028

Yuanta Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yuanta Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yuanta Global NexGen can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.43% of its total net assets in equities

Yuanta Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yuanta Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yuanta Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yuanta Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.63M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.37M

Yuanta Global Technical Analysis

Yuanta Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yuanta Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yuanta Global NexGen. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yuanta Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yuanta Global Predictive Forecast Models

Yuanta Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yuanta Global's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yuanta Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yuanta Global NexGen

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yuanta Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yuanta Global NexGen help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 96.43% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in Yuanta Etf

Yuanta Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yuanta Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yuanta with respect to the benefits of owning Yuanta Global security.