Cathay Nasdaq (Taiwan) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 31.10

00737 Etf  TWD 33.96  0.03  0.09%   
Cathay Nasdaq's future price is the expected price of Cathay Nasdaq instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cathay Nasdaq AI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cathay Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cathay Nasdaq Correlation, Cathay Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Cathay Nasdaq Volatility, Cathay Nasdaq History as well as Cathay Nasdaq Performance.
  
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Cathay Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish below 31.10

The tendency of Cathay Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 31.10  or more in 90 days
 33.96 90 days 31.10 
about 33.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cathay Nasdaq to drop to NT$ 31.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.16 (This Cathay Nasdaq AI probability density function shows the probability of Cathay Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cathay Nasdaq AI price to stay between NT$ 31.10  and its current price of NT$33.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cathay Nasdaq has a beta of 0.74. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cathay Nasdaq average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cathay Nasdaq AI will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cathay Nasdaq AI has an alpha of 0.1939, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cathay Nasdaq Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cathay Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cathay Nasdaq AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.9033.9635.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5636.5137.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.9734.0335.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.6133.9834.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cathay Nasdaq. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cathay Nasdaq's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cathay Nasdaq's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cathay Nasdaq AI.

Cathay Nasdaq Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cathay Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cathay Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cathay Nasdaq AI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cathay Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.74
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Cathay Nasdaq Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cathay Nasdaq for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cathay Nasdaq AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 94.61% of its total net assets in equities

Cathay Nasdaq Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cathay Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cathay Nasdaq's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cathay Nasdaq's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day259.25k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month172.62k

Cathay Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Cathay Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cathay Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cathay Nasdaq AI. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cathay Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cathay Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models

Cathay Nasdaq's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cathay Nasdaq's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cathay Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cathay Nasdaq AI

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cathay Nasdaq for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cathay Nasdaq AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 94.61% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in Cathay Etf

Cathay Nasdaq financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cathay Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cathay with respect to the benefits of owning Cathay Nasdaq security.