Ottogi (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 400475.0

007310 Stock   413,000  6,000  1.47%   
Ottogi's future price is the expected price of Ottogi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ottogi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ottogi Backtesting, Ottogi Valuation, Ottogi Correlation, Ottogi Hype Analysis, Ottogi Volatility, Ottogi History as well as Ottogi Performance.
  
Please specify Ottogi's target price for which you would like Ottogi odds to be computed.

Ottogi Target Price Odds to finish below 400475.0

The tendency of Ottogi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  400,475  or more in 90 days
 413,000 90 days 400,475 
about 20.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ottogi to drop to  400,475  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.59 (This Ottogi probability density function shows the probability of Ottogi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ottogi price to stay between  400,475  and its current price of 413000.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ottogi has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ottogi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ottogi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ottogi has an alpha of 0.0181, implying that it can generate a 0.0181 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ottogi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ottogi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ottogi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
420,086420,088420,089
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
381,155402,750424,345
Details

Ottogi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ottogi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ottogi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ottogi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ottogi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
10,905
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Ottogi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ottogi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ottogi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Ottogi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ottogi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ottogi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ottogi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.4 M

Ottogi Technical Analysis

Ottogi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ottogi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ottogi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ottogi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ottogi Predictive Forecast Models

Ottogi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ottogi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ottogi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ottogi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ottogi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ottogi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Ottogi Stock

Ottogi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ottogi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ottogi with respect to the benefits of owning Ottogi security.