Fuh Hwa (Taiwan) Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 7.63

00712 Etf  TWD 9.82  0.01  0.10%   
Fuh Hwa's future price is the expected price of Fuh Hwa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fuh Hwa FTSE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fuh Hwa Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fuh Hwa Correlation, Fuh Hwa Hype Analysis, Fuh Hwa Volatility, Fuh Hwa History as well as Fuh Hwa Performance.
  
Please specify Fuh Hwa's target price for which you would like Fuh Hwa odds to be computed.

Fuh Hwa Target Price Odds to finish below 7.63

The tendency of Fuh Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 7.63  or more in 90 days
 9.82 90 days 7.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fuh Hwa to drop to NT$ 7.63  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fuh Hwa FTSE probability density function shows the probability of Fuh Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fuh Hwa FTSE price to stay between NT$ 7.63  and its current price of NT$9.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fuh Hwa has a beta of 0.0651. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fuh Hwa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fuh Hwa FTSE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fuh Hwa FTSE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fuh Hwa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fuh Hwa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuh Hwa FTSE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.149.8210.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.129.8010.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.019.6910.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.439.709.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fuh Hwa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fuh Hwa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fuh Hwa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fuh Hwa FTSE.

Fuh Hwa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fuh Hwa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fuh Hwa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fuh Hwa FTSE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fuh Hwa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Fuh Hwa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fuh Hwa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fuh Hwa FTSE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fuh Hwa FTSE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Fuh Hwa FTSE holds 97.76% of its total net assets in equities

Fuh Hwa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fuh Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fuh Hwa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fuh Hwa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.02M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.35M

Fuh Hwa Technical Analysis

Fuh Hwa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fuh Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fuh Hwa FTSE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fuh Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fuh Hwa Predictive Forecast Models

Fuh Hwa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fuh Hwa's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fuh Hwa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fuh Hwa FTSE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fuh Hwa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fuh Hwa FTSE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fuh Hwa FTSE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Fuh Hwa FTSE holds 97.76% of its total net assets in equities

Other Information on Investing in Fuh Etf

Fuh Hwa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fuh Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fuh with respect to the benefits of owning Fuh Hwa security.