Tae Kyung (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11180.0

006890 Stock   11,190  60.00  0.54%   
Tae Kyung's future price is the expected price of Tae Kyung instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tae Kyung Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tae Kyung Backtesting, Tae Kyung Valuation, Tae Kyung Correlation, Tae Kyung Hype Analysis, Tae Kyung Volatility, Tae Kyung History as well as Tae Kyung Performance.
  
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Tae Kyung Target Price Odds to finish below 11180.0

The tendency of Tae Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11,180  or more in 90 days
 11,190 90 days 11,180 
about 82.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tae Kyung to drop to  11,180  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.2 (This Tae Kyung Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Tae Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tae Kyung Chemical price to stay between  11,180  and its current price of 11190.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tae Kyung Chemical has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tae Kyung are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tae Kyung Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tae Kyung Chemical has an alpha of 0.1244, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tae Kyung Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tae Kyung

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tae Kyung Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,18811,19011,192
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,2869,28812,309
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tae Kyung. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tae Kyung's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tae Kyung's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tae Kyung Chemical.

Tae Kyung Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tae Kyung is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tae Kyung's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tae Kyung Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tae Kyung within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
395.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Tae Kyung Technical Analysis

Tae Kyung's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tae Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tae Kyung Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tae Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tae Kyung Predictive Forecast Models

Tae Kyung's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tae Kyung's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tae Kyung's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tae Kyung in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tae Kyung's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tae Kyung options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Tae Stock

Tae Kyung financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tae Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tae with respect to the benefits of owning Tae Kyung security.